Major League Soccer

May 26, 2024 at 3.30am UK

Dignity Health Sports Park

LA Galaxy
2 - 1
Houston

Pec (44'), Puig (60')
Brugman (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Blessing (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-0 LA Galaxy
Sunday, May 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: Houston 1-1 Dallas
Sunday, May 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 2-2 Houston Dynamo

LA Galaxy are the favourites here but their form of late has been questionable and they have struggled to put games to bed from winning positions. Indeed, Houston have also been way below their best this season but they have shown improvement in the last few weeks and we feel they will be able to earn a share of the spoils in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 53.03%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.62%) and 3-1 (6.46%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles Galaxy in this match.

Result
Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Houston Dynamo
53.03% ( 0.01)	21.13%	25.84% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 66.09% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.68% (

-0.01)

32.32% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.06% (

-0.01)

53.94% (

0.01)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.5% (

-0)

12.49% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.52%

38.48%

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.52% (

-0.01)

24.48% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.07% (

-0.01)

58.93% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy 53.03%

Houston Dynamo 25.84%

Draw 21.13%

Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Houston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.36% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.54% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.36% 5-1 @ 1.4% 4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.99% 5-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.58% Total : 53.03%	1-1 @ 8.95% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.06% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.13% ( -0) Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.13%	1-2 @ 6.3% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.3% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.03% 1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.08% 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 25.84%