Major League Soccer

May 30, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Inter Miami CF Stadium

Inter Miami
1 - 3
Atlanta

Messi (62')
Aviles (57')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lobzhanidze (44', 59'), Thiare (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions

Last Game: Vancouver 1-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, May 26 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 0-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, May 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Inter Miami 2-0 Atlanta United

Over the weekend, the Herons made a statement that they are capable of winning and being a quality side, even without their three best players. The Five Stripes' frustrations are boiling over, and their top players are not 100%, so we project their winless MLS run will reach double-digits. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 50.94%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 26.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Inter Miami	Draw	Atlanta United
50.94% ( -2.84)	22.46% ( 0.98)	26.6% ( 1.87)

Both teams to score 61.92% (

-1.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.9% (

-2.92)

38.1% (

2.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.64% (

-3.19)

60.37% (

3.19)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.83% (

-1.93)

15.17% (

1.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.21% (

-3.78)

43.79% (

3.79)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73% (

-0.19)

27% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.65% (

-0.25)

62.35% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Inter Miami 50.94%

Atlanta United 26.6%

Draw 22.46%

Inter Miami	Draw	Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.55) 2-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.44) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.32) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.43) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.31) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.29) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.25) Other @ 4% Total : 50.94%	1-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.66) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.55) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.46%	1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.4) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.69) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.44) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.18) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.01% Total : 26.6%