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Nashville
Major League Soccer
May 18, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
First Tennessee Park
Atlanta United

Nashville
1 - 1
Atlanta

Williams (40' pen.)
Surridge (45+3'), Bauer (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Slisz (56')
Guzan (37'), Rode Gregersen (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 2-0 Toronto
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Atlanta
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 3-1 Atlanta United

Despite the close proximity in the table, these two teams have been in contrasting form of late. With Nashville on an upward curve and with home advantage, we are backing them to come through this contest in relatively convincing fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 53.66%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 23.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Nashville SCDrawAtlanta United
53.66% (2.345 2.35) 22.73% (-0.453 -0.45) 23.6% (-1.896 -1.9)
Both teams to score 57.66% (-0.583 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.73% (0.2 0.2)42.26% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.33% (0.198 0.2)64.67% (-0.20400000000001 -0.2)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.27% (0.89700000000001 0.9)15.73% (-0.903 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.17% (1.633 1.63)44.82% (-1.637 -1.64)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.42% (-1.44 -1.44)31.57% (1.435 1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.02% (-1.691 -1.69)67.97% (1.686 1.69)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 53.66%
    Atlanta United 23.6%
    Draw 22.73%
Nashville SCDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.121 0.12)
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.195 0.2)
2-0 @ 8.5% (0.429 0.43)
3-1 @ 6.04% (0.253 0.25)
3-0 @ 5.24% (0.415 0.42)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.79% (0.197 0.2)
4-0 @ 2.42% (0.259 0.26)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.054 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 53.66%
1-1 @ 10.59% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-0 @ 4.97% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.73%
1-2 @ 6.1% (-0.362 -0.36)
0-1 @ 5.73% (-0.286 -0.29)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.304 -0.3)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.239 -0.24)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.173 -0.17)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 23.6%

How you voted: Nashville vs Atlanta

Nashville SC
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Atlanta United
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
Atlanta
4-0
Nashville
Silva (26'), Almada (46'), Robinson (57'), Lobzhanidze (87')
Muyumba (34'), Pineda (35'), Wolff (66')
Apr 29, 2023 6.30pm
Nashville
3-1
Atlanta
Picault (36'), Bunbury (56'), Shaffelburg (90+1')
Almada (72' pen.)
May 22, 2022 12.30am
Aug 28, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 27
Atlanta
0-2
Nashville

Barco (37'), Sejdic (61')
Rios (45+2'), Leal (90+5')
Lovitz (26'), Anunga (75'), Leal (90+6')
Jul 9, 2021 1.30am
Gameweek 15
Nashville
2-2
Atlanta
Anibaba (14'), Williams (49' pen.)
Leal (28'), Haakenson (82'), McCarty (89')
Walkes (5'), Conway (59')
Wolff (39'), Sosa (44'), Torres (47'), Moreno (67')
Mulraney (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City168351916327
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1633102334-1112
14Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511


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