Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.66%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Miami | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
32.56% ( -1.19) | 23.72% ( -0.21) | 43.71% ( 1.39) |
Both teams to score 61.39% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.49% ( 0.61) | 40.51% ( -0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.11% ( 0.62) | 62.89% ( -0.62) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.64% ( -0.4) | 24.36% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.24% ( -0.57) | 58.76% ( 0.56) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.16% ( 0.85) | 18.83% ( -0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.72% ( 1.4) | 50.27% ( -1.4) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Miami | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 32.56% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.72% | 1-2 @ 9.03% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 5.03% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.14) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.44% Total : 43.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 26 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
6 | Toronto | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 23 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 19 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
11 | Orlando City | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 17 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 16 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 12 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 30 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 28 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 23 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Dallas | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |