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Nashville
Major League Soccer
Mar 17, 2024 at 12.30am UK
First Tennessee Park
Charlotte FC

Nashville
2 - 1
Charlotte FC

Surridge (32'), Muyl (40')
Maher (55')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dejaegere (45+4')
Tavares (55'), Byrne (57'), Privett (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Charlotte FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 3-1 Nashville
Thursday, March 14 at 12.15am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Toronto 1-0 Charlotte FC
Saturday, March 9 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 1-1 Charlotte FC

Nashville may be slightly fatigued following their midweek outing in the Champions Cup, and we think they will have to settle for a point in Saturday's home contest, especially after drawing three of their four competitive home games this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawCharlotte FC
46.33% (0.72900000000001 0.73) 25.12% (-0.14 -0.14) 28.56% (-0.59 -0.59)
Both teams to score 54.38% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.25% (0.259 0.26)48.75% (-0.259 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.15% (0.237 0.24)70.86% (-0.23599999999999 -0.24)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.93% (0.431 0.43)21.07% (-0.431 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.12% (0.666 0.67)53.88% (-0.667 -0.67)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.89% (-0.298 -0.3)31.11% (0.297 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.57% (-0.348 -0.35)67.43% (0.348 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 46.32%
    Charlotte FC 28.56%
    Draw 25.11%
Nashville SCDrawCharlotte FC
1-0 @ 10.2% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.95% (0.123 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.82% (0.097 0.1)
3-0 @ 4.13% (0.116 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.062 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.065 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 46.32%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.55% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.65% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
0-2 @ 4.47% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 28.56%

How you voted: Nashville vs Charlotte FC

Nashville SC
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Charlotte FC
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 1.30am
Nashville
1-1
Charlotte FC
Williams (90+8' pen.)
Williams (26'), McCarty (56'), Godoy (73'), Bunbury (90+2')
Arfield (90+3')
Jones (27'), Malanda (89'), Byrne (90+6')
May 21, 2023 12.30am
Charlotte FC
1-2
Nashville
Bronico (6')
Byrne (11'), Bronico (54')
Williams (39', 90+3')
Bunbury (34'), McCarty (69')
Jul 10, 2022 12am
Charlotte FC
4-1
Nashville
Fuchs (26' pen.), Swiderski (61'), Ruiz (89'), Shinyashiki (90+1')
Williams (67' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Portland TimbersPortland133462527-213
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192232-1010


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