Major League Soccer

May 26, 2024 at 3.30am UK

Stanford Stadium

Earthquakes
1 - 1
Austin

Ebobisse (10')
Wilson (41'), Espinoza (42'), Akapo (57'), Costa (64')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hines-Ike (44')
Driussi (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 0-1 Orlando City
Sunday, May 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Austin 3-2 Kansas
Sunday, May 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-3 Austin FC

Although Austin have a poor away record their form of late has been strong, and this is in contrast to San Jose, who have lost their previous two fixtures. Additionally, given that no team in either the Western or Eastern Conference has conceded more than the Quakes' 33 goals, it is fair to say that Austin could take advantage of their opponents' defensive vulnerabilities. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 22.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Austin FC
53.36% ( -0)	23.95%	22.68% ( 0)

Both teams to score 52.51% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.45%

48.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.32%

70.67% (

-0)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.87%

18.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.91% (

-0)

49.08% (

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.13% (

35.86% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.36% (

72.64% (

-0)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 53.36%

Austin FC 22.68%

Draw 23.95%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Austin FC
1-0 @ 11.1% 2-1 @ 9.72% 2-0 @ 9.48% 3-1 @ 5.53% 3-0 @ 5.4% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.84% 4-1 @ 2.36% 4-0 @ 2.3% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.42% Total : 53.36%	1-1 @ 11.38% 0-0 @ 6.5% 2-2 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.95%	0-1 @ 6.67% 1-2 @ 5.84% 0-2 @ 3.42% 1-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.7% 0-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.89% Total : 22.68%