Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Altrincham | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
39.34% ( 1.32) | 25.06% ( -0.05) | 35.59% ( -1.27) |
Both teams to score 57.4% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.93% ( 0.12) | 46.07% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.63% ( 0.11) | 68.37% ( -0.11) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.78% ( 0.74) | 23.22% ( -0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.88% ( 1.07) | 57.12% ( -1.07) |
Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.76% ( -0.65) | 25.24% ( 0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.01% ( -0.91) | 59.98% ( 0.91) |
Score Analysis |
Altrincham | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.14% Total : 39.34% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.06% | 1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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