Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 56.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 19.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Fulham win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newcastle United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Newcastle United.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Fulham |
56.53% ( -0.55) | 23.78% ( 0.09) | 19.69% ( 0.44) |
Both teams to score 48.85% ( 0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.7% ( 0.2) | 51.29% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.88% ( 0.17) | 73.12% ( -0.18) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.03% ( -0.13) | 17.97% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.19% ( -0.22) | 48.81% ( 0.21) |
Fulham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.55% ( 0.61) | 40.44% ( -0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.94% ( 0.55) | 77.05% ( -0.55) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Fulham |
1-0 @ 12.47% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.48% Total : 56.52% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.84% Total : 23.78% | 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.16% Total : 19.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
> Premier League Full Table |