Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21

Feb 10, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio do Bessa Seculo XXI

Boavista
2 - 1
Estoril

Sasso (15'), Bozenik (29')
Makouta (48'), Perez (61'), Lourenco (85'), Camara (87'), Goncalves (90')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Marques (54')
Ndiaye (17'), Seabra (18'), Zanocelo (70'), Carlos (86'), Fernandes (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Boavista and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boavista

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Boavista
Monday, February 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, February 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Boavista 1-2 Estoril Praia

Estoril Praia have turned a corner in recent weeks and will head into the weekend with renewed confidence. Boavista have failed to win their last seven games at the Estadio do Bessa and we see them struggling for results in front of their home supporters once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Boavista in this match.

Result
Boavista	Draw	Estoril Praia
46.43% ( 0.16)	24.37% ( 0.01)	29.2% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 57.3% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.89% (

-0.12)

45.11% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.54% (

-0.12)

67.46% (

0.12)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.46% (

0.02)

19.54% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.55% (

0.03)

51.45% (

-0.03)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.22% (

-0.17)

28.78% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.37% (

-0.21)

64.63% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Boavista 46.43%

Estoril Praia 29.2%

Draw 24.36%

Boavista	Draw	Estoril Praia
2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 46.43%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.36%	1-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.01% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.2%