Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estrela Amadora would win this match.
Result | ||
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Estoril Praia |
41.85% ( 0.05) | 27.07% ( -0.02) | 31.07% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 49.63% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.49% ( 0.05) | 55.51% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.31% ( 0.05) | 76.69% ( -0.05) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.83% ( 0.05) | 26.17% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.74% ( 0.07) | 61.26% ( -0.07) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.23% ( 0) | 32.77% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.67% ( 0) | 69.33% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 11.49% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 41.84% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.07% | 0-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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