Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 48.91%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 25.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Arouca |
48.91% ( -0.01) | 25.95% ( -0) | 25.13% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.12% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.67% ( 0.01) | 54.33% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.28% ( 0.01) | 75.71% ( -0.01) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.76% | 22.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.33% ( 0) | 55.67% ( -0) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.16% ( 0.02) | 36.83% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.38% ( 0.02) | 73.62% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Arouca |
1-0 @ 12.31% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.26% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.25% 3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.63% 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.74% Other @ 3.03% Total : 48.91% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 8.19% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0) Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 8.18% 1-2 @ 6.14% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 25.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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