Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1

Aug 11, 2023 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Braga

Braga
1 - 2
Famalicao

Horta (9')
Borja (83'), Zalazar (83'), Djalo (90+5'), Saatci (90+8')

FT(HT: 1-0)

de Oliveira Rodrigues (67'), Aranda Subiela (90+5')
Youssouf (7'), Assuncao (73'), Junior (81'), Cadiz (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 3-0 Backa Topola
Tuesday, August 8 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Famalicao

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: CF Os Belenenses 3-2 Famalicao
Sunday, July 23 at 6pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Famalicao head into Friday's curtain-raiser knowing that they have their work cut out as they face a high-flying Braga side whose last home defeat came in February. Os Arcebispos are currently firing on all cylinders and we are backing them to ease to an opening-day victory in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 65%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 14.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Braga	Draw	Famalicao
65% ( 0.11)	20.57% ( -0.19)	14.44% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 48.18% (

0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.34% (

0.95)

46.66% (

-0.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.08% (

0.88)

68.93% (

-0.88)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.42% (

0.33)

13.58% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.31% (

0.66)

40.69% (

-0.65)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.75% (

0.69)

44.25% (

-0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.67% (

0.56)

80.33% (

-0.56)

Score Analysis

Braga 64.98%

Famalicao 14.44%

Draw 20.57%

Braga	Draw	Famalicao
1-0 @ 11.99% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 11.97% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.71% Total : 64.98%	1-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.8% Total : 20.57%	0-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.39% Total : 14.44%