Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19

Jan 28, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
1 - 0
Famalicao

de Brito Gonzaga (82')
Marcelo (20'), Ofori (43'), Kewin (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Moura (17'), Sa (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions

Last Game: Porto 5-0 Moreirense
Saturday, January 20 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Famalicao

All competitions

Last Game: Famalicao 1-2 Braga
Thursday, January 18 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Moreirense 2-1 Famalicao

Moreirense and Famalicao have stumbled into the new year and will head into the weekend looking to return to winning ways. However, Os verdes e brancos' home advantage gives them a slight edge and we fancy them to claim all three points, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Moreirense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Moreirense.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Famalicao
40.96% ( 0.02)	26.32%	32.71% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 52.53% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.93% (

-0.01)

52.07% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.2% (

-0.01)

73.79% (

0.01)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.93% (

0.01)

25.07% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.24% (

0.01)

59.75% (

-0.01)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.1% (

-0.02)

29.89% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34% (

-0.03)

65.99% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Moreirense 40.95%

Famalicao 32.71%

Draw 26.32%

Moreirense	Draw	Famalicao
1-0 @ 10.36% 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 40.95%	1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.32%	0-1 @ 9.05% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.71%