Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28

Apr 7, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Do Dragao

Porto
1 - 2
Guimaraes

Galeno (44')
Wendell (37'), Mario (63')
Pepe (69')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Galeno (12' og.), Silva (33')
Freitas (45+1'), Freitas (53'), Ribeiro (62'), Silva (72'), Mendes (75'), Varela (89'), Oliveira (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 Porto
Wednesday, April 3 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 Porto
Wednesday, April 3 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Porto 2-0 Vitoria de Guimaraes

The hosts have enjoyed this fixture in recent history, winning all but two of the 20 meetings between the two sides since November 2008, losing one and drawing one. The visitors have failed to score in three of their last four visits to this stadium, and we see that happening once again in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 62.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 17.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-2 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Porto	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
62.06% ( 0.32)	20.3% ( -0.27)	17.64% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 56.49% (

0.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.68% (

1.16)

39.32% (

-1.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.34% (

1.2)

61.66% (

-1.2)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.83% (

0.45)

12.17% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.2% (

0.94)

37.79% (

-0.94)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.31% (

0.63)

35.68% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.54% (

0.65)

72.45% (

-0.65)

Score Analysis

Porto 62.06%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 17.64%

Draw 20.3%

Porto	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.34) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.86% Total : 62.06%	1-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.3%	1-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.59% Total : 17.64%