Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1

Aug 13, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave
2 - 0
Chaves

Acevedo (64' pen.), Manuel (90+8')
Pantalon (40'), Joca (73'), Savio (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Langa (14'), Nogueira (20'), Sylla (62')
Langa (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Arouca 2-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, July 30 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Chaves

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: AVS 1-1 Chaves (5-3 pen.)
Saturday, July 22 at 6pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

We said: Rio Ave 1-1 Chaves

Both sides may have to settle for a point on Sunday, with Rio Ave continuing their unbeaten run against Chaves. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 38%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	Chaves
38% ( 0.02)	28.05% ( -0)	33.95% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 47.52% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.46% (

0.01)

58.53% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.89% (

79.11% (

-0)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.22% (

0.02)

29.77% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.15% (

0.02)

65.85% (

-0.02)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.66% (

-0.01)

32.34% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.15% (

-0.01)

68.84% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 38%

Chaves 33.94%

Draw 28.04%

Rio Ave	Draw	Chaves
1-0 @ 11.66% 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 38%	1-1 @ 13.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.63% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.04%	0-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.71% Total : 33.94%