Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3

Aug 26, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio de Sao Luis

Farense
5 - 0
Chaves

Muscat (10'), Falcao (17'), Belloumi (20'), Isidoro (22'), Oliveira (49')
Costa (69'), Talocha (75')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Victor Ferreira de Jesus (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Farense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 2-1 Farense
Sunday, August 20 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Chaves

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Chaves 2-4 Braga
Saturday, August 19 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: SC Farense 0-0 Chaves

Both sides looked comfortable soaking up pressure against stronger opposition last week, despite both falling to defeat. However, when the impetus is on them, the goal threat of both sides is still questionable, so this could be a cagey encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 36.57%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
SC Farense	Draw	Chaves
35.81% ( 0.1)	27.62% ( -0.04)	36.57% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 48.97% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.2% (

0.15)

56.8% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.27% (

0.12)

77.73% (

-0.11)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.75% (

0.14)

30.26% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.58% (

0.16)

66.43% (

-0.16)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.21% (

0.03)

29.79% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.14% (

0.04)

65.86% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

SC Farense 35.81%

Chaves 36.57%

Draw 27.61%

SC Farense	Draw	Chaves
1-0 @ 10.77% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 35.81%	1-1 @ 13.04% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.61%	0-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.9% 0-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.57%