Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Greenock Morton |
43.51% ( -0.26) | 25.83% ( 0) | 30.67% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 53.32% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.32% ( 0.09) | 50.68% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.41% ( 0.08) | 72.59% ( -0.08) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.82% ( -0.08) | 23.18% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.93% ( -0.12) | 57.07% ( 0.12) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.42% ( 0.23) | 30.58% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.18% ( 0.27) | 66.82% ( -0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Greenock Morton |
1-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 43.5% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.08% Total : 30.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
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