Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 33

May 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
3 - 1
Bologna

Lucumi (1' og.), Akpa-Akpro (45+1'), Cambiaghi (68')
Parisi (27'), Henderson (66'), Bandinelli (87')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Orsolini (88' pen.)
Motta (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: Sassuolo 2-1 Empoli
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bologna

All competitions

Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Juventus
Sunday, April 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

A closely-fought contest between two out-of-sorts sides is set to take place on Thursday with Empoli boasting the psychological edge considering their strong head-to-head record over Bologna. However, we believe that the visitors can follow up their draw with Juventus by picking up at least a point at the Stadio Carlo Castellani. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Bologna
33.83% ( -0.13)	26.38% ( 0.11)	39.79% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 52.63% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.93% (

-0.46)

52.07% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.2% (

-0.4)

73.8% (

0.4)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.83% (

-0.31)

29.17% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.89% (

-0.38)

65.11% (

0.38)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.3% (

-0.2)

25.69% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.39% (

-0.27)

60.61% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Empoli 33.83%

Bologna 39.78%

Draw 26.37%

Empoli	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 33.83%	1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37%	0-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.14% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 39.78%