Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 32

Apr 30, 2023 at 2pm UK

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Sassuolo
2 - 1
Empoli

Berardi (82', 90+7' pen.)
Lauriente (26'), Lopez (61')
Pinamonti (74')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Cambiaghi (11')
Bandinelli (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sassuolo

All competitions

Last Game: Salernitana 3-0 Sassuolo
Saturday, April 22 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: Empoli 0-3 Inter Milan
Sunday, April 23 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sassuolo's form has tailed off since their survival was all but confirmed, and missing Berardi will certainly affect them in attack. Empoli have been in extremely worrying form, with a toothless attack dragging them towards danger, but they may be able to take something from a Sassuolo side who have little left to play for. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 51.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 23.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.

Result
Sassuolo	Draw	Empoli
51.61% ( 0.02)	24.55% ( 0.04)	23.84% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 52.03% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.14% (

-0.22)

49.86% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.14% (

-0.2)

71.86% (

0.2)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.69% (

-0.08)

19.31% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.94% (

-0.13)

51.06% (

0.13)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.47% (

-0.18)

35.53% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.71% (

-0.18)

72.29% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Sassuolo 51.61%

Empoli 23.84%

Draw 24.54%

Sassuolo	Draw	Empoli
1-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 51.61%	1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.54%	0-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 23.84%