Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Roma |
36.56% | 25.37% | 38.07% |
Both teams to score 56.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.62% | 47.38% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.4% | 69.6% |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.7% | 25.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.93% | 60.07% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.52% | 24.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.07% | 58.92% |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 8.51% 2-1 @ 8.23% 2-0 @ 5.85% 3-1 @ 3.77% 3-0 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 0.92% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.74% Total : 36.56% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.19% 2-2 @ 5.79% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 8.72% 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-2 @ 6.13% 1-3 @ 3.96% 0-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.72% 1-4 @ 1.39% 0-4 @ 1.01% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |