Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.45%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
Result | ||
Sassuolo | Draw | Genoa |
45.86% | 22.48% | 31.65% |
Both teams to score 65.6% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.18% | 34.82% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.21% | 56.79% |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.26% | 15.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.15% | 44.84% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.85% | 22.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.47% | 55.53% |
Score Analysis |
Sassuolo | Draw | Genoa |
2-1 @ 8.98% 1-0 @ 6.45% 2-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 5.54% 3-2 @ 4.17% 3-0 @ 3.67% 4-1 @ 2.56% 4-2 @ 1.93% 4-0 @ 1.7% 4-3 @ 0.97% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3% Total : 45.87% | 1-1 @ 9.72% 2-2 @ 6.77% 0-0 @ 3.49% 3-3 @ 2.1% Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.48% | 1-2 @ 7.32% 0-1 @ 5.26% 0-2 @ 3.96% 1-3 @ 3.68% 2-3 @ 3.4% 0-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.39% 2-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.37% Total : 31.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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