Maldonado

1 - 2

Danubio

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 35.97%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.24%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (12.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.