Maldonado

2 - 1

Defensor

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 42.44%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 28.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.6%) and 1-2 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.