World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Nov 21, 2023 at 11pm UK

Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Paraguay
0 - 1
Colombia

Jose Caceres (24'), Caballero (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Borre (11' pen.)
Arias (45'), Mina (45+1'), Munoz (69'), Cordoba (83')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Paraguay and Colombia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paraguay

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Chile 0-0 Paraguay
Friday, November 17 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	5	5	12
2	Uruguay	5	5	10
3	Colombia	5	2	9
4	Venezuela	5	3	8
5	Ecuador	5	1	8
6	Brazil	5	2	7
7	Paraguay	5	-1	5
8	Chile	5	-3	5
9	Bolivia	5	-7	3
10	Peru	5	-7	1

Colombia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Colombia 2-1 Brazil
Friday, November 17 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	5	5	12
2	Uruguay	5	5	10
3	Colombia	5	2	9
4	Venezuela	5	3	8
5	Ecuador	5	1	8
6	Brazil	5	2	7
7	Paraguay	5	-1	5
8	Chile	5	-3	5
9	Bolivia	5	-7	3
10	Peru	5	-7	1

We said: Paraguay 1-1 Colombia

Colombia's unbeaten start has included three draws from five games, including in both of their away games, and it would be no shock to see another tight affair here. Paraguay battled for a 0-0 in Chile with 10 men, and are slight underdogs here despite home advantage, but they may be able to hold their visitors to a draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 42.98%. A draw had a probability of 32.1% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 24.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (6.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.32%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Paraguay	Draw	Colombia
42.98%	32.09% ( 0.05)	24.92% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 34.39% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

27.26% (

-0.13)

72.73% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

11.07% (

-0.08)

88.93% (

0.08)

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.79% (

-0.07)

34.21% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.1% (

-0.08)

70.9% (

0.08)

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.26% (

-0.13)

47.73% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.96% (

-0.1)

83.03% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Paraguay 42.98%

Colombia 24.92%

Draw 32.08%

Paraguay	Draw	Colombia
1-0 @ 17.51% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 1.46% Total : 42.98%	0-0 @ 16.32% ( 0.07) 1-1 @ 12.95% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 32.08%	0-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.31% Total : 24.92%