Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 56.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for DC United had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portland Timbers | Draw | DC United |
56.36% ( 1.44) | 22.94% ( -0.46) | 20.7% ( -0.98) |
Both teams to score 53% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.44% ( 0.78) | 46.56% ( -0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.17% ( 0.73) | 68.83% ( -0.72) |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.68% ( 0.79) | 16.32% ( -0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.1% ( 1.41) | 45.9% ( -1.41) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.34% ( -0.52) | 36.66% ( 0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.55% ( -0.53) | 73.45% ( 0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Portland Timbers | Draw | DC United |
1-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.19) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.22% Total : 56.36% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.94% | 0-1 @ 6% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.73% Total : 20.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |