Australian A-League | Gameweek 26

Apr 28, 2024 at 8am UK

Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Melbourne City
1 - 0
Western Utd

MacLaren (19')
Leckie (28')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Donachie (66')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Live Updates

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Western United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Western Sydney 1-2 Melbourne City
Saturday, April 20 at 6.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Perth Glory 3-4 Western Utd
Sunday, April 21 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 72.19%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Western United had a probability of 13.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.59%), while for a Western United win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Western United
72.19% ( 0.13)	14.75% ( -0.04)	13.05% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 67.07% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

78.6% (

-0.06)

21.4% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

59.93% (

-0.08)

40.06% (

0.09)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.71% (

0.01)

5.28% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.17% (

0.02)

20.83% (

-0.02)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.82% (

-0.17)

29.18% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.88% (

-0.2)

65.12% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 72.19%

Western United 13.05%

Draw 14.75%

Melbourne City	Draw	Western United
2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.7% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 6-2 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 4.8% Total : 72.19%	1-1 @ 5.59% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.53% Total : 14.75%	1-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 1.9% 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 13.05%