Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 16

Jan 21, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

RheinEnergieStadion

FC Koln
7 - 1
Werder Bremen

Maina (9'), Tigges (15', 21'), Skhiri (30', 54'), Huseinbasic (36'), Friedl (76' og.)

FT(HT: 5-1)

Fullkrug (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-0 FC Koln
Saturday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: FC Koln 1-2 Werder Bremen

With Koln still missing several important players through injury, we can envisage the visitors picking up an important away win this weekend. Fullkrug and Ducksch can cause any opponents issues in transition on their day, with the former likely to be full of confidence after scoring against Spain at the World Cup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 56.05%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 22.97% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.53%) and 1-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FC Koln	Draw	Werder Bremen
56.05% ( -0.71)	20.97% ( 0.22)	22.97% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 63.17% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.34% (

-0.46)

34.65% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.39% (

-0.52)

56.6% (

0.52)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.6% (

-0.35)

12.39% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.72% (

-0.74)

38.27% (

0.74)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.11% (

0.14)

27.89% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.5% (

0.17)

63.5% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

FC Koln 56.05%

Werder Bremen 22.97%

Draw 20.97%

FC Koln	Draw	Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.05) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.52% Total : 56.05%	1-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 20.97%	1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.54% Total : 22.97%