Though Aris should have most of the ball - as they did last week in Poland - Rakow were by far the best defensive team in Poland last season and are capable of keeping them in check. It is set to be a tense, close-fought affair, with little to choose between the two teams, but it will be the away side who ultimately progress. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Aris Limassol had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Aris Limassol win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rakow Czestochowa in this match.

Result
Aris Limassol	Draw	Rakow Czestochowa
30.86% ( 0.98)	27.99% ( 0.44)	41.16% ( -1.4)

Both teams to score 46.9% (

-0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.07% (

-1.24)

58.94% (

1.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.58% (

-0.97)

79.42% (

0.97)

Aris Limassol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.27% (

0.07)

34.73% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.54% (

0.08)

71.46% (

-0.07)

Rakow Czestochowa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.85% (

-1.34)

28.15% (

1.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.17% (

-1.74)

63.84% (

1.74)

Score Analysis

Aris Limassol 30.86%

Rakow Czestochowa 41.16%

Draw 27.98%

Aris Limassol	Draw	Rakow Czestochowa
1-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.2% Total : 30.86%	1-1 @ 13.1% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.98%	0-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.76% Total : 41.16%