Europa League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 18, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma2 - 1AC Milan
The Match
Match Report
Roma book their spot in the semi-finals of the Europa League courtesy of a 3-1 aggregate victory over Serie A rivals AC Milan in the quarter-finals of the competition.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Roma and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Roma
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sassuolo 3-3 AC Milan
Sunday, April 14 at 2pm in Serie A
Sunday, April 14 at 2pm in Serie A
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | AC Milan |
40.56% ( -0.01) | 25.75% ( -0.01) | 33.68% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.67% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.56% ( 0.04) | 49.44% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.52% ( 0.04) | 71.47% ( -0.04) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.9% ( 0.02) | 24.1% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.61% ( 0.02) | 58.39% ( -0.02) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.02% ( 0.03) | 27.98% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.38% ( 0.04) | 63.61% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Roma 40.56%
AC Milan 33.68%
Draw 25.75%
Roma | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.7% 2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 40.56% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.47% 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 33.68% |
How you voted: Roma vs AC Milan
Roma
40.6%Draw
18.4%AC Milan
41.0%266
Head to Head
Apr 11, 2024 8pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
AC Milan
0-1
Roma
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Roma
1-2
AC Milan
Apr 29, 2023 5pm
Jan 8, 2023 7.45pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-05 03:51:42
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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