Friendlies 1

Jun 8, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Monumental

Peru
0 - 0
Paraguay

Zambrano (78')

Bareiro (68'), Alonso (72')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Peru and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peru

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Peru 4-1 Dominican Rep.
Wednesday, March 27 at 1.30am in International Friendlies

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Paraguay

All competitions

Last Game: Paraguay 0-1 Colombia
Tuesday, November 21 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Peru look like a different side since the coaching change, and although we believe Paraguay will present a much stiffer challenge for them, La Albirroja have not been quite as convincing in the attacking third as La Bicolor. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 61.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 13.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.35%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.83%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Peru	Draw	Paraguay
61.34% ( -0.08)	25.1% ( 0.03)	13.56% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 34.59% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.95% (

-0)

64.05% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.78% (

-0)

83.22% (

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.93% (

-0.03)

21.07% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.12% (

-0.05)

53.88% (

0.05)

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.82% (

0.08)

56.18% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.43% (

0.05)

88.57% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Peru 61.33%

Paraguay 13.56%

Draw 25.1%

Peru	Draw	Paraguay
1-0 @ 18.43% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 14.35% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.24% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 61.33%	0-0 @ 11.83% 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 25.1%	0-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.7% Total : 13.56%