League Two

League Two | Gameweek 25

Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
1 - 1
Crewe

Evans (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Long (48')
Williams (72')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Newport County and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Newport 4-2 Forest Green
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Walsall 2-0 Crewe
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Newport County 2-1 Crewe Alexandra

Newport extended their unbeaten home form with a resolute Boxing Day display against Forest Green Rovers and we are backing them to pick up where they left off and edge out a floundering Crewe side who have failed to taste victory since late November. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
45.48% ( 0.01)	24.3% ( -0)	30.22% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 58.18% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.76% (

0.01)

44.24% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.39% (

0.01)

66.61% (

-0.01)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.4% (

0.01)

19.6% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.47% (

0.01)

51.53% (

-0.01)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.36% (

27.64% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.81% (

63.19% (

Score Analysis

Newport County 45.48%

Crewe Alexandra 30.22%

Draw 24.3%

Newport County	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.83% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.2% 3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 45.48%	1-1 @ 11.35% 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.3%	1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.97% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.48% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 2.55% 0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 30.22%