League One

League One | Gameweek 6

Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
2 - 0
Shrewsbury

Bayliss (57' og.), Garner (90+6')
Guy (82'), Garner (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bowman (45'), Feeney (62'), Winchester (75'), Anderson (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League One clash between Carlisle United and Shrewsbury Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Fleetwood 0-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 49.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
49.41% ( -0.01)	27.13% ( -0)	23.46% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 44.32% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.25% (

0.02)

59.75% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.96% (

0.01)

80.05% (

-0.01)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.66%

24.34% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.27% (

58.73% (

-0)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.58% (

0.02)

41.42% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.07% (

0.02)

77.93% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 49.4%

Shrewsbury Town 23.46%

Draw 27.13%

Carlisle United	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 14.24% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.74% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.68% 4-1 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.32% Total : 49.4%	1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 10.08% 2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.59% Total : 27.13%	0-1 @ 8.89% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 1.2% Total : 23.46%