Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 52.33%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 24.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Lorient win was 2-1 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Monaco |
24.34% ( -1.46) | 23.33% ( -0.47) | 52.33% ( 1.92) |
Both teams to score 56.52% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.82% ( 0.74) | 44.17% ( -0.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.45% ( 0.71) | 66.55% ( -0.71) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.01% ( -0.79) | 31.99% ( 0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.55% ( -0.91) | 68.45% ( 0.91) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.11% ( 0.99) | 16.89% ( -0.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.07% ( 1.73) | 46.92% ( -1.73) |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Monaco |
2-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.27) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.34) 2-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.62% Total : 24.34% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.32% | 1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 5.77% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 5.07% ( 0.32) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 2.57% ( 0.19) 0-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.21) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.08) 1-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.11% Total : 52.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |