Champions League

Champions League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg

Aug 29, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadio Apostolos Nikolaidis

Panathinaikos
0 - 1
Braga

(Braga win 3-1 on aggregate)

Cantalapiedra (65'), Carlos (74')
Carlos (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bruma (83')
Niakate (6'), Saatci (79'), Bruma (85')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Panathinaikos and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Panathinaikos

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Panathinaikos 3-0 Volos
Saturday, August 26 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Top scorers

Braga

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Braga 2-1 Panathinaikos
Wednesday, August 23 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Panathinaikos 1-1 Braga (Braga win 3-2 on aggregate)

Needing to cling onto a slender advantage at a stadium where Panathinaikos are seldom outclassed, an injury to Al-Musrati is exactly what the doctor did not order for Braga, who may have to adopt a more cautious approach with the Libyan absent. Jorge's difference-makers in the final third can still create something out of nothing if needed, and while most of Panathinaikos' big-hitters are well-rested, a low-scoring draw will suffice for the Archbishops. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Braga in this match.

Result
Panathinaikos	Draw	Braga
34.11% ( -0.01)	26.71% ( -0)	39.17% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.62% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.61% (

53.38% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.08% (

74.92% (

-0)

Panathinaikos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.36% (

-0.01)

29.64% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.31% (

-0.01)

65.68% (

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.36% (

26.63% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.13% (

0.01)

61.87% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Panathinaikos 34.11%

Braga 39.17%

Draw 26.71%

Panathinaikos	Draw	Braga
1-0 @ 9.6% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.72% 2-0 @ 5.84% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.37% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.43% Total : 34.11%	1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 7.89% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.71%	0-1 @ 10.44% 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.91% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.71% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.23% 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 39.17%