Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 61.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 18.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
61.74% ( 0.06) | 20.24% ( -0.02) | 18.02% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 57.49% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.62% ( 0.01) | 38.38% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.34% ( 0.01) | 60.67% ( -0) |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.04% ( 0.02) | 11.97% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.63% ( 0.04) | 37.37% ( -0.03) |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.3% ( -0.04) | 34.7% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.57% ( -0.04) | 71.43% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.01% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.72% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.71% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.97% 5-1 @ 1.58% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.04% Total : 61.75% | 1-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.15% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.24% | 1-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 18.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |