Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 49.06%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Chaves win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Famalicao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.
Result | ||
Chaves | Draw | Famalicao |
25.95% ( 0) | 24.99% ( 0) | 49.06% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.74% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.06% ( -0.02) | 49.94% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.07% ( -0.02) | 71.93% ( 0.02) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.23% ( -0.01) | 33.76% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.57% ( -0.01) | 70.42% ( 0.01) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.62% ( -0.01) | 20.38% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.2% ( -0.02) | 52.79% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Chaves | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.45% 2-0 @ 4.06% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 25.95% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 10.94% 1-2 @ 9.45% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.71% 1-3 @ 5.01% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.62% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.99% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 49.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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