Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 23

Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK

Tony Macaroni Arena

Livingston
1 - 4
Dundee

Yengi (78' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bakayoko (19'), McCowan (62'), Robinson (79'), Mellon (87')
Dodgson (44'), McCowan (53')
McCowan (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Livingston and Dundee, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Livingston

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Livingston 2-1 Raith Rovers
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dundee

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Hearts 3-2 Dundee
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Livingston 2-1 Dundee

Livingston will not get many better opportunities to end their lengthy winless streak than a home fixture against a promoted team, especially having benefitted from a full week's rest, which is in contrast to Dundee after their devastating defeat to Hearts on Tuesday. We can envisage another tight encounter for the visitors, but Livingston have shown some signs of improvements in recent fixtures, and we think that they may finally put all three points on the board. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 36.63%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Dundee win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Livingston	Draw	Dundee
36.63% ( -0.14)	27.25% ( -0.12)	36.12% ( 0.26)

Both teams to score 50.13% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.64% (

0.49)

55.36% (

-0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.43% (

0.4)

76.57% (

-0.41)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.96% (

0.16)

29.04% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.05% (

0.19)

64.95% (

-0.19)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.64% (

0.4)

29.36% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.66% (

0.49)

65.34% (

-0.49)

Score Analysis

Livingston 36.63%

Dundee 36.12%

Draw 27.25%

Livingston	Draw	Dundee
1-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.63%	1-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.25%	0-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.5% Total : 36.12%