Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 24

Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK

Fir Park

Motherwell
1 - 1
Kilmarnock

Bair (38')
Butcher (80'), Spittal (85')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mayo (13')
Wright (36'), Armstrong (48'), Stewart (80'), Findlay (85'), van Veen (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: St Johnstone 1-1 Motherwell
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-2 Hibernian
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Motherwell 1-1 Kilmarnock

Games between these two teams have proven to be close this season, and it has been clear that each team knows how to cause problems for the other. Considering the impressive form that Motherwell are enjoying as of late, they could end up sharing the spoils with Kilmarnock. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Motherwell	Draw	Kilmarnock
46.84% ( 0.69)	25.71% ( 0.01)	27.45% ( -0.7)

Both teams to score 51.76% (

-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.19% (

-0.45)

51.81% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.43% (

-0.39)

73.57% (

0.39)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.89% (

0.12)

22.11% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.53% (

0.19)

55.47% (

-0.19)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.46% (

-0.77)

33.54% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.81% (

-0.86)

70.19% (

0.86)

Score Analysis

Motherwell 46.84%

Kilmarnock 27.45%

Draw 25.7%

Motherwell	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 46.84%	1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.7%	0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.38% Total : 27.45%