Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Lazio |
47.7% ( 0.66) | 25.16% ( -0.19) | 27.13% ( -0.46) |
Both teams to score 53.2% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.19% ( 0.52) | 49.81% ( -0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.19% ( 0.46) | 71.81% ( -0.46) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.1% ( 0.5) | 20.9% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.38% ( 0.77) | 53.62% ( -0.77) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.26% ( -0.09) | 32.74% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.7% ( -0.1) | 69.3% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.57% Total : 47.7% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.53% Total : 27.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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