Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Roma |
32.14% ( 0.02) | 28.96% ( 0) | 38.9% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 44.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.03% ( -0) | 61.97% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.29% ( -0) | 81.71% |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.59% ( 0.01) | 35.4% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.83% ( 0.01) | 72.17% ( -0.02) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.06% ( -0.02) | 30.94% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.76% ( -0.02) | 67.24% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 6.93% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.91% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.4% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.09% Total : 32.14% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.95% | 0-1 @ 12.85% 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.09% Total : 38.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |