Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 20.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Almeria |
54.17% ( 0.42) | 25.19% ( -0.04) | 20.63% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 46.22% ( -0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.48% ( -0.25) | 55.52% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.3% ( -0.2) | 76.7% ( 0.2) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.5% ( 0.07) | 20.5% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.02% ( 0.12) | 52.98% ( -0.12) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.14% ( -0.55) | 41.86% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.69% ( -0.48) | 78.31% ( 0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Almeria |
1-0 @ 13.59% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.38% Total : 54.16% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.68% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.12% Total : 20.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |