Major League Soccer

Mar 17, 2024 at 2.30am UK

Dignity Health Sports Park

LA Galaxy
3 - 3
St Louis City

Joveljic (3'), Paintsil (51'), Yoshida (90+5')
Caceres (35'), Paintsil (45+1'), Puig (65')
Caceres (90+9')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ostrak (27'), Nilsson (60'), McCarthy (88' og.)
Totland (25'), Jackson (51'), Nilsson (70'), Adeniran (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Last Game: Nashville 2-2 LA Galaxy
Sunday, March 10 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

St Louis City

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Austin 2-2 St Louis City
Sunday, March 10 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 2-2 St Louis City

This is a fascinating contest between one of the most successful teams in MLS history and the newest club to join the division, with both teams collecting five points from their opening three matches. LA Galaxy have massively underperformed in recent seasons whereas St Louis topped the Western Conference last time out, so we can envisage an entertaining score draw when they meet on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 20.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 1-0 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	St Louis City
59.25% ( 0.89)	20.51% ( -0.2)	20.24% ( -0.69)

Both teams to score 60.65% (

-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.88% (

-0.06)

36.13% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.77% (

-0.07)

58.24% (

0.07)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.04% (

0.23)

11.96% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.64% (

0.48)

37.36% (

-0.48)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.89% (

-0.68)

31.12% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.56% (

-0.8)

67.44% (

0.8)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy 59.25%

St Louis City 20.24%

Draw 20.51%

Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	St Louis City
2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 2.15% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.06) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.44% Total : 59.25%	1-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.51%	1-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.66% Total : 20.24%