Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 23.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-0 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Sassuolo | Draw | Fiorentina |
23.01% ( -0.25) | 23.12% ( -0.17) | 53.88% ( 0.42) |
Both teams to score 55.64% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.4% ( 0.5) | 44.6% ( -0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.03% ( 0.48) | 66.97% ( -0.48) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.63% ( 0.05) | 33.37% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30% ( 0.06) | 70% ( -0.06) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.51% ( 0.33) | 16.49% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.79% ( 0.59) | 46.22% ( -0.59) |
Score Analysis |
Sassuolo | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.32% Total : 23.01% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.11% | 0-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.89% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 5.37% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.66% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 2.42% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.22% Total : 53.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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