Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 47.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 26.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.
Result | ||
Cremonese | Draw | Salernitana |
47.08% ( 3.87) | 26.89% ( 0.32) | 26.02% ( -4.19) |
Both teams to score 47.21% ( -3.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.82% ( -3.3) | 57.19% ( 3.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.96% ( -2.7) | 78.04% ( 2.7) |
Cremonese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.7% ( 0.43) | 24.31% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.32% ( 0.61) | 58.69% ( -0.6) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.37% ( -5.08) | 37.64% ( 5.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.59% ( -5.33) | 74.41% ( 5.33) |
Score Analysis |
Cremonese | Draw | Salernitana |
1-0 @ 12.93% ( 1.69) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( 1.29) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.66) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.24) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.25) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.45% Total : 47.08% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.15% ( 1.1) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.58) Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.89% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.91) 0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.7) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.64) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.47) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.43) Other @ 1.68% Total : 26.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |