Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 50.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 24.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Salernitana |
50.51% ( -0.42) | 24.75% ( 0.25) | 24.74% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 52.35% ( -0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.1% ( -0.88) | 49.9% ( 0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.11% ( -0.79) | 71.89% ( 0.79) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.24% ( -0.51) | 19.76% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.19% ( -0.84) | 51.8% ( 0.84) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.24% ( -0.33) | 34.76% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.51% ( -0.35) | 71.49% ( 0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Salernitana |
1-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.87% Total : 50.5% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 24.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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