Major League Soccer

Mar 24, 2024 at 12.30am UK

CityPark

St Louis City
2 - 2
DC United

Yaro (19'), Klauss (70' pen.)
Nilsson (42'), Durkin (73'), Blom (90+12'), Alm (90+14')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Ku-Dipietro (20'), Benteke (38')
Hopkins (24'), Ku-Dipietro (82'), Pirani (88'), Murrell (90+13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: LA Galaxy 3-3 St Louis City
Sunday, March 17 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

DC United

All competitions

Last Game: DC United 1-3 Inter Miami
Saturday, March 16 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: St Louis City 2-0 DC United

St Louis City's home record of late coupled with DC United's recent struggles on the road makes the hosts huge favourites to come out on top here. We fully expect them to get the job done in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for DC United had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest DC United win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
St Louis City	Draw	DC United
43.22% ( 0.29)	26.12% ( -0.07)	30.65% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 52.37% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.08% (

0.19)

51.91% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.34% (

0.17)

73.66% (

-0.17)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.14% (

0.23)

23.86% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.95% (

0.32)

58.05% (

-0.33)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.78% (

-0.06)

31.22% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.44% (

-0.07)

67.56% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

St Louis City 43.22%

DC United 30.65%

Draw 26.12%

St Louis City	Draw	DC United
1-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 43.22%	1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.12%	0-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.93% Total : 30.65%