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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barnsley in this match.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Barnsley |
43.71% ( 0.02) | 25.43% ( 0.01) | 30.85% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.7% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.06% ( -0.03) | 48.94% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.97% ( -0.03) | 71.02% ( 0.03) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.66% ( -0.01) | 22.33% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.18% ( -0.01) | 55.81% ( 0.01) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.42% ( -0.03) | 29.57% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.4% ( -0.04) | 65.6% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Barnsley |
1-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.52% 3-0 @ 3.71% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 43.71% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 8.05% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 30.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |