Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 36

May 22, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
2 - 2
Salernitana

El Shaarawy (47'), Matic (83')
Zalewski (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Candreva (12'), Dia (54')
Gyomber (69'), Ochoa (85'), Daniliuc (87'), Dia (90+5')
Sousa (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Roma and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-0 Roma
Thursday, May 18 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Salernitana

All competitions

Last Game: Salernitana 1-0 Atalanta
Saturday, May 13 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

With their patched-up squad and heavy workload, Roma are vulnerable to a buoyant Salernitana side - particularly as they lack sufficient firepower up front. The visitors do not tend to travel well, but on current form they can pick up a point at the Olimpico. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 69.41%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.55%) and 3-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Salernitana
69.41% ( -0.14)	19.86% ( 0.06)	10.72% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 39.77% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.93% (

-0.07)

52.07% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.2% (

-0.06)

73.8% (

0.06)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.06% (

-0.06)

13.93% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.6% (

-0.13)

41.39% (

0.13)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.21% (

0.1)

53.79% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.85% (

0.06)

87.15% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Roma 69.41%

Salernitana 10.72%

Draw 19.86%

Roma	Draw	Salernitana
1-0 @ 14.77% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 14.55% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.18% Total : 69.41%	1-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.41% Total : 19.86%	0-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 10.72%