Major League Soccer

Jun 2, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Audi Field

DC United
2 - 2
Toronto

Ku-Dipietro (79'), Klich (90+5' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-2)

Etienne (2'), Bernardeschi (33')
Bernardeschi (52'), Gomis (80'), Flores (82'), Marshall-Rutty (90+4'), Osorio (90+4'), Longstaff (90+8'), Petretta (90+12')
Bernardeschi (87'), Gomis (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

DC United

All competitions

Last Game: Montreal 4-2 DC United
Thursday, May 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 Toronto
Thursday, May 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: DC United 2-3 Toronto

Neither side are particularly strong defensively, but Toronto have shown they have more attacking depth than many had thought, whereas the Black and Red seem to rely heavily on Benteke. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 54.07%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 23% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
DC United	Draw	Toronto
54.07% ( -1.64)	22.93% ( 0.39)	23% ( 1.25)

Both teams to score 56.25% (

0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.21% (

-0.28)

43.79% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.82% (

-0.27)

66.18% (

0.27)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.87% (

-0.66)

16.13% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.44% (

-1.21)

45.56% (

1.21)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.07% (

0.98)

32.93% (

-0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.49% (

1.08)

69.51% (

-1.08)

Score Analysis

DC United 54.07%

Toronto 23%

Draw 22.92%

DC United	Draw	Toronto
2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 9.69% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.2) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.37% Total : 54.07%	1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.92%	1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.4% Total : 23%